Tournament recap
🇺🇸US Open 2026
Who the crowd backed, who let them down, and how the field scored.
The players
🇪🇸 C. Alcaraz
9% of the brackets that named a champion picked them.
🇨🇿 T. Machac
5% had them lifting the trophy. They went out in R128.
🇺🇸 B. Shelton
Their wins paid out 59,095 points across every bracket in the draw.
🇩🇪 A. Zverev
Named in 175 picks, across 70 brackets.
Counts every round, so deep runs inflate this.
🇨🇳 Y. Bu
Just 0% of the 57 brackets that picked their opening match backed them — the lowest in the draw.
How the field did
36%
4,995 of 13,880 picks called correctly.
56 of 127
matches ended with the most-picked player losing — 44% of the tournament.
Final
2% accuracy, against a 11% median across all rounds.
71 of 127
A bracket built from the majority pick in every match would have beaten 98% of the 123 real entries.
The crowd's bracket is complete; most real entries are not.
Accuracy falls with every round by design — calling a quarterfinal means having had the winner survive three earlier matches first. Compare a round against the same round elsewhere, not against the one before it.
The matches that did the damage
🇨🇳 Y. Bu def. 🇪🇸 R. Jodar
R128 — 0 of the 57 brackets that picked this match called it.
🇨🇳 Y. Bu def. 🇪🇸 R. Jodar
100% of the 57 brackets that picked this match had R. Jodar winning it.
The people
- 🥇kano142711,680
- 🥈omar_star10,560
- 🥉finleysmash759,000
2
of the 117 brackets that named a champion had A. Zverev winning the title.
foxcarlos
46 of 64 correct in R128.