Tournament recap
🇲🇨Monte-Carlo Masters 2026
Who the crowd backed, who let them down, and how the field scored.
The players
🇨🇿 T. Machac
13% had them lifting the trophy. They went out in R16.
🇮🇹 J. Sinner
Their wins paid out 27,400 points across every bracket in the draw.
🇨🇿 T. Machac
Named in 64 picks, across 14 brackets.
Counts every round, so deep runs inflate this.
How the field did
36%
228 of 638 picks called correctly.
21 of 54
matches went against the crowd's majority pick — 39% of the tournament.
Final
4% accuracy, against a 25% median across all rounds.
33 of 54
A bracket built from the majority pick in every match would have beaten 96% of the 68 real entries.
The crowd's bracket is complete; most real entries are not.
Accuracy falls with every round by design — calling a quarterfinal means having had the winner survive three earlier matches first. Compare a round against the same round elsewhere, not against the one before it.
The matches that did the damage
🇲🇨 V. Vacherot def. 🇦🇺 A. De Minaur
Quarterfinal — 0 of the 16 brackets that picked this match called it.
The people
3
of the 67 brackets that named a champion had J. Sinner winning the title.
bennyto
18 of 24 correct in R64.