Tournament recap
🇨🇳Hangzhou Open 2026
Who the crowd backed, who let them down, and how the field scored.
The players
🇦🇷 T. M. Etcheverry
15% had them lifting the trophy. They went out in R16.
🇷🇺 D. Medvedev
Their wins paid out 8,075 points across every bracket in the draw.
🇦🇷 T. M. Etcheverry
Named in 54 picks, across 22 brackets.
Counts every round, so deep runs inflate this.
🇨🇿 D. Svrcina
Just 33% of the 30 brackets that picked their opening match backed them — the lowest in the draw.
How the field did
38%
343 of 900 picks called correctly.
11 of 27
matches ended with the most-picked player losing — 41% of the tournament.
Final
11% accuracy, against a 23% median across all rounds.
16 of 27
A bracket built from the majority pick in every match would have beaten 98% of the 47 real entries.
The crowd's bracket is complete; most real entries are not.
Accuracy falls with every round by design — calling a quarterfinal means having had the winner survive three earlier matches first. Compare a round against the same round elsewhere, not against the one before it.
The matches that did the damage
🇫🇷 K. Jacquet def. 🇭🇺 F. Marozsan
Quarterfinal — 1 of the 33 brackets that picked this match called it.
🇫🇷 K. Jacquet def. 🇦🇷 T. M. Etcheverry
65% of the 34 brackets that picked this match had T. M. Etcheverry winning it.
The people
5
of the 47 brackets that named a champion had D. Medvedev winning the title.
casey_point
10 of 12 correct in R32.