Tournament recap
🇺🇸Cincinnati Open 2026
Who the crowd backed, who let them down, and how the field scored.
The players
🇨🇿 T. Machac
7% had them lifting the trophy. They went out in R128.
🇺🇸 F. Tiafoe
Their wins paid out 21,690 points across every bracket in the draw.
🇩🇪 Y. Hanfmann
Named in 158 picks, across 63 brackets.
Counts every round, so deep runs inflate this.
🇫🇷 L. van Assche
Just 0% of the 63 brackets that picked their opening match backed them — the lowest in the draw.
How the field did
36%
3,125 of 8,682 picks called correctly.
50 of 95
matches went against the crowd's majority pick — 53% of the tournament.
Final
0% accuracy, against a 11% median across all rounds.
45 of 95
A bracket built from the majority pick in every match would have beaten 97% of the 110 real entries.
The crowd's bracket is complete; most real entries are not.
Accuracy falls with every round by design — calling a quarterfinal means having had the winner survive three earlier matches first. Compare a round against the same round elsewhere, not against the one before it.
The matches that did the damage
🇫🇷 A. Fils def. 🇺🇸 F. Tiafoe
Final — 0 of the 105 brackets that picked this match called it.
🇵🇹 J. Faria def. 🇺🇸 J. Brooksby
100% of the 55 brackets that picked this match had J. Brooksby winning it.
The people
- 🥇charliedeuce324,250
- 🥈sam233,765
- 🥉rowan_flat663,685
0
of the 105 brackets that named a champion had A. Fils winning the title.
bennyto
23 of 32 correct in R64.