Tournament recap
🇨🇳China Open 2026
Who the crowd backed, who let them down, and how the field scored.
The players
🇵🇪 I. Buse
7% had them lifting the trophy. They went out in R32.
🇷🇸 N. Djokovic
Their wins paid out 9,825 points across every bracket in the draw.
🇩🇪 A. Zverev
Named in 95 picks, across 38 brackets.
Counts every round, so deep runs inflate this.
🇦🇷 T. A. Tirante
Just 37% of the 67 brackets that picked their opening match backed them — the lowest in the draw.
How the field did
36%
755 of 2,095 picks called correctly.
18 of 31
matches ended with the most-picked player losing — 58% of the tournament.
Final
4% accuracy, against a 11% median across all rounds.
13 of 31
A bracket built from the majority pick in every match would have beaten 69% of the 70 real entries.
The crowd's bracket is complete; most real entries are not.
Accuracy falls with every round by design — calling a quarterfinal means having had the winner survive three earlier matches first. Compare a round against the same round elsewhere, not against the one before it.
The matches that did the damage
🇷🇸 N. Djokovic def. 🇦🇺 A. De Minaur
Final — 3 of the 70 brackets that picked this match called it.
🇸🇰 A. Molcan def. 🇫🇷 A. Rinderknech
57% of the 67 brackets that picked this match had A. Rinderknech winning it.
The people
3
of the 70 brackets that named a champion had N. Djokovic winning the title.
flatmateo
12 of 16 correct in R32.