Tournament recap
🇯🇵Tokyo Open 2026
Who the crowd backed, who let them down, and how the field scored.
The players
🇨🇿 J. Lehecka
21% of the brackets that named a champion picked them.
🇦🇷 T. M. Etcheverry
6% had them lifting the trophy. They went out in R32.
🇪🇸 C. Alcaraz
Their wins paid out 24,650 points across every bracket in the draw.
🇦🇷 T. M. Etcheverry
Named in 104 picks, across 50 brackets.
Counts every round, so deep runs inflate this.
🇵🇹 J. Faria
Just 0% of the 34 brackets that picked their opening match backed them — the lowest in the draw.
How the field did
32%
730 of 2,307 picks called correctly.
25 of 31
matches ended with the most-picked player losing — 81% of the tournament.
Semifinal
9% accuracy, against a 14% median across all rounds.
6 of 31
A bracket built from the majority pick in every match would have beaten 34% of the 108 real entries.
The crowd's bracket is complete; most real entries are not.
Accuracy falls with every round by design — calling a quarterfinal means having had the winner survive three earlier matches first. Compare a round against the same round elsewhere, not against the one before it.
The matches that did the damage
🇵🇹 J. Faria def. 🇬🇧 A. Fery
R32 — 0 of the 34 brackets that picked this match called it.
🇵🇹 J. Faria def. 🇬🇧 A. Fery
100% of the 34 brackets that picked this match had A. Fery winning it.
The people
15
of the 107 brackets that named a champion had C. Alcaraz winning the title.
ivanmorgan
10 of 16 correct in R32.