Tournament recap
🇨🇳Chengdu Open 2026
Who the crowd backed, who let them down, and how the field scored.
The players
🇳🇱 B. Van De Zandschulp
11% had them lifting the trophy. They went out in R16.
🇪🇸 A. Davidovich Fokina
Their wins paid out 14,625 points across every bracket in the draw.
🇦🇷 S. Baez
Named in 136 picks, across 65 brackets.
Counts every round, so deep runs inflate this.
🇮🇹 F. Cina
Just 0% of the 53 brackets that picked their opening match backed them — the lowest in the draw.
How the field did
32%
874 of 2,747 picks called correctly.
20 of 27
matches ended with the most-picked player losing — 74% of the tournament.
Final
7% accuracy, against a 17% median across all rounds.
7 of 27
A bracket built from the majority pick in every match would have beaten 32% of the 106 real entries.
The crowd's bracket is complete; most real entries are not.
Accuracy falls with every round by design — calling a quarterfinal means having had the winner survive three earlier matches first. Compare a round against the same round elsewhere, not against the one before it.
The matches that did the damage
🇮🇹 F. Cina def. 🇦🇷 C. Ugo Carabelli
R32 — 0 of the 53 brackets that picked this match called it.
🇮🇹 F. Cina def. 🇦🇷 C. Ugo Carabelli
100% of the 53 brackets that picked this match had C. Ugo Carabelli winning it.
The people
7
of the 104 brackets that named a champion had A. Davidovich Fokina winning the title.
marley86
9 of 12 correct in R32.